Risk Analytics for Innovation Projects

Resource Type
RTM Publication
Publish Date
02/26/2020
Authors
Scott Mathews, Phillip Russell
Topics
Risk Management, Innovation
Associated Event
Publication

OVERVIEW:

In today’s data-driven world, many companies fail to fully leverage risk analytics in innovation projects, risking significant losses. Quantitative risk analysis, crucial for informed decision-making, evaluates trade-offs between costs, benefits, and risks. Common methods like Net Present Value (NPV) and risk-adjusted NPV (RA-NPV) often fall short due to inadequate risk assessments. Monte Carlo simulation is recommended for more accurate risk evaluation and decision-making. The article advocates for sophisticated tools like real options valuation with Monte Carlo simulation to enhance flexibility and accuracy in managing complex projects.