Risk Analytics for Innovation Projects
- Resource Type
- RTM Publication
- Publish Date
- 02/26/2020
- Authors
- Scott Mathews, Phillip Russell
- Topics
- Risk Management, Innovation
- Associated Event
- Publication
OVERVIEW:
In today’s data-driven world, many companies fail to fully leverage risk analytics in innovation projects, risking significant losses. Quantitative risk analysis, crucial for informed decision-making, evaluates trade-offs between costs, benefits, and risks. Common methods like Net Present Value (NPV) and risk-adjusted NPV (RA-NPV) often fall short due to inadequate risk assessments. Monte Carlo simulation is recommended for more accurate risk evaluation and decision-making. The article advocates for sophisticated tools like real options valuation with Monte Carlo simulation to enhance flexibility and accuracy in managing complex projects.